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Food Supply and Demand ยป Changing Food Production and Consumption

What you'll learn this session

Study time: 30 minutes

Cambridge spec: 10.2.2

  • Explain why global food production has changed
  • Explain why global food consumption has changed
  • Describe a trend over time from a graph, using figures
  • Link production and consumption to rising demand for food

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Food production and consumption are both rising

Farmers around the world grow far more food today than they did 60 years ago. At the same time, people eat more, and they eat different things. Production is the amount of food grown or raised. Consumption is the amount of food eaten or used. This lesson explains why both have changed. You already know where calorie intake is high and low from the lesson Global Patterns of Calorie Intake. Here we look at what drives the change over time.

Key terms:

  • Production: the amount of food grown or raised.
  • Consumption: the amount of food eaten or used.
  • Mechanisation: using machines instead of human or animal labour.
  • Irrigation: supplying water to crops by channels, pipes or sprinklers.
  • High-yield variety (HYV): a crop bred to give more food from the same area of land.
  • Yield: the amount of crop grown on each hectare of land. A hectare is about the size of a rugby pitch.
  • Biofuel: a fuel made from plants, such as ethanol from sugar cane or maize.
  • Processed food: food that has been changed in a factory, such as ready meals, snacks and sugary drinks.

Why production has changed

Production rises when farmers grow more on each hectare (a higher yield) or farm more hectares. Five reasons matter for the exam.

🚜 New technology and mechanisation

Tractors, combine harvesters and sprayers let one farmer work a huge area quickly. Fertilisers and pesticides raise yields and cut losses to pests. Satellite navigation and sensors help farmers use inputs exactly where they are needed.

💧 Irrigation

Irrigation brings water to dry land and lets farmers grow crops in the dry season. Some fields can then give two or three harvests a year instead of one. Large irrigation schemes have turned dry regions such as parts of northern India into major food producers.

🌱 High-yield seeds

From the 1960s, plant breeders produced HYVs of wheat and rice. They are short, so they put energy into grain rather than stalk, and they respond well to fertiliser. This change, often called the Green Revolution, greatly raised yields in countries such as India and Mexico.

🌾 More land farmed

Forests, grasslands and wetlands have been cleared for crops and pasture. Farmland has spread into parts of the Amazon basin and South-east Asia. This raises production, but it costs habitats and biodiversity.

🌡 Climate change effects

Climate change helps some places and harms others. In cooler regions at high latitudes, such as Canada and Russia, a warmer climate can lengthen the growing season. In many hot, dry regions, more heat and drought reduce yields. So climate change changes where food can be grown as well as how much.

Why consumption has changed

Consumption rises when there are more people to feed, or when each person eats more or eats more resource-hungry foods.

  • Population growth: more people need more food. The world has several billion more people than in 1960, so total demand is far higher.
  • Rising incomes: as incomes rise in middle-income countries (MICs) such as China and India, people can afford more meat and dairy. Meat and dairy are expensive to produce. Rearing animals needs much more land and feed than growing crops for people to eat directly. So a rise in meat eating makes demand for grain and farmland rise sharply.
  • Urbanisation: city dwellers buy their food instead of growing it. They have less time to cook, so they eat more convenience food and eat out more. Supermarkets and fast-food outlets spread as cities grow.
  • Western diets and processed food: diets in many countries have moved towards more sugar, fat, meat and processed food, as people copy the diets of high-income countries (HICs). This raises the amount of food each person eats and the energy it contains.
  • Biofuels: some crops are no longer eaten. Sugar cane in Brazil and maize in the USA are used to make ethanol for vehicles. Crops used as fuel are not available as food, which adds to demand and can push up food prices.

Describing a trend from a graph

The exam often gives a line graph or table of food production or consumption over time. Fig. 1.1 shows made-up data for world cereal production.

Year19801990200020102020
Cereal production (million tonnes)1,5001,8002,0002,4002,900

To describe the trend well:

  1. State the overall trend: production increased steadily.
  2. Quote start and end figures with units: from 1,500 million tonnes in 1980 to 2,900 million tonnes in 2020.
  3. Pick out the fastest or slowest part: the smallest rise was 1990 to 2000 (200 million tonnes), and the biggest was 2010 to 2020 (500 million tonnes).
  4. Pick out any anomaly, such as a year with a sudden fall. Fig. 1.1 has none.

Do not explain in a "describe" answer. Explain only when the command word is "explain" or "suggest reasons".

Worked example

Find the percentage increase in Fig. 1.1 from 2000 to 2020. The increase is 2,900 − 2,000 = 900 million tonnes. Divide by the starting figure: 900 ÷ 2,000 = 0.45. Multiply by 100. The increase is 45%.

Common mistakes

Writing "people are hungry so production went up" is not a reason. Name a specific cause such as irrigation or HYVs. Another mistake is to say all farmland is increasing. Farmland is lost to cities and degraded soil in some places too. Finally, in a graph answer, never give only the words "it goes up". Add figures and years.

Exam-style question

Fig. 1.2 shows made-up data for a middle-income country.

YearMeat eaten per person (kg a year)Share of people living in cities (%)
19902025
20003035
20104545
20206058

(a) Identify the amount of meat eaten per person in 2000. [1 mark]

(b) Calculate how much meat eaten per person increased between 1990 and 2020. [1 mark]

(c) Describe the trend in meat eaten per person shown in Fig. 1.2. [3 marks]

(d) Explain why consumption of food can increase when incomes and urbanisation rise. [4 marks]

(e) Discuss the reasons why global food production has increased. [6 marks]

Model answer

(a) 30 kg a year (1).

(b) 60 − 20 = 40 kg per person (1).

(c) Meat eaten per person increased steadily (1) from 20 kg in 1990 to 60 kg in 2020 (1). The rise was faster after 2000, 15 kg every ten years compared with 10 kg between 1990 and 2000 (1).

(d) When incomes rise, people can afford more meat and dairy (1), which need more crops and land to produce (1). In cities people buy food instead of growing it (1), so they eat more convenience and processed food (1).

(e) Levels-style answer, made up for practice: Level 1 (1 to 2 marks) lists reasons with no detail. Level 2 (3 to 4 marks) explains some reasons. Level 3 (5 to 6 marks) explains several reasons with links and reaches a judgement.

Level 3 answer: Production has increased because yields have risen and more land is farmed. Mechanisation means tractors and harvesters work large areas fast (1). Irrigation supplies water in dry seasons, so land can give more harvests a year (1). High-yield seeds from the Green Revolution gave more grain from each hectare when used with fertiliser (1). Forests and grassland have also been cleared, so more land is farmed (1), though that harms habitats (1). Climate change can lengthen the growing season in places such as Canada but cause drought elsewhere, so its effect is mixed. Overall, technology that raises yields is the most important reason, because it increases output without needing more land (1).

Exam tip

In a "describe the trend" answer, always quote figures with units and years. Save your reasons for the "explain" part.

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